Exploiting High Stakes Poker with Data

Run It Once
09 Jul 2025
Advanced
This material is for experienced players
Strategy

 

Patrick 'Freenachos' Gerritsen breaks down High Stakes Poker Episode 1 using advanced data analysis from his "Dominate with Data" course. He examines player decisions, betting frequencies, and strategic concepts like range advantage and GTO play in live high-stakes games.

Players over-bet too frequently, under-bluff in key spots, and make suboptimal decisions in multi-way pots compared to solver data.

Advanced Strategy Breakdown:

  • Players are c-betting too often according to solver data, simplifying their ranges incorrectly
  • Multi-way pots require more conservative play - hands that normally bet should check more frequently
  • Monotone boards demand careful slow-playing of strong hands to maintain range balance
  • Live players call too passively pre-flop and miss value-betting opportunities
  • Check-raising frequency is significantly lower than optimal in most spots analyzed
  • Recreational players fold too much on flops but bet too aggressively on turns after calling flop
  • Position and range advantage concepts are often misapplied in live high-stakes games
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