bankroll downswing mental game variance winrate Pete Clarke explores how small poker samples (40k hands) create false impressions about skill level, causing emotional distress. Using variance calculators, he demonstrates why even good players experience massive swings. The video emphasizes developing a healthier relationship with poker by focusing on strategy improvement rather than results. Pete shows how focusing on short-term results creates the "poker misery trap." True progress comes from strategy development rather than results from small samples. Understanding Poker Variance: Even winning players experience significant downswings over 40,000 hands Standard deviation in poker means similar-skilled players can have vastly different results Prime Dope variance calculator demonstrates the mathematical reality of swings Mental game suffers when players attach self-worth to short-term results Successful poker requires appreciation of the game itself, not just results A 3-month sample is statistically meaningless despite feeling significant Players should focus on strategy improvement rather than results
