Range Advantage Won't Save You

GTO Wizard
13 Oct 2025
Advanced
This material is for experienced players
Strategy

This video challenges common poker coaching myths about range advantage and cbetting frequency. Using linear regression analysis across 1,755 flops, it reveals that equity realization is the strongest predictor of betting frequency, not raw equity percentages.

Range advantage doesn't explain cbetting frequency. Equity realization correlates more strongly than raw equity or EV.

What you will learn:

  • Why having 54% equity produces completely different betting strategies on different flops
  • How equity realization predicts betting frequency better than raw range advantage
  • The three underlying factors that truly drive fast playing decisions: retention, polarization, and fold equity
  • Why linear regression reveals that equity only explains 24-25% of cbetting frequency
  • How to think scientifically about GTO strategy instead of making ad hoc explanations
  • The difference between correlation and causation in poker strategy analysis
  • Why your range's ability to convert equity into EV matters more than equity itself
About the Author
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GTO Wizard Poker training platform

GTO Wizard is an online study tool with millions of pre-solved GTO solutions. It helps players train cash games, tournaments, and more right in their browser. Simple tools and clear visuals make learning optimal poker strategy easy for everyone.

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