Should You Do This At Low & Mid Stakes

2 Card Confidence
05 Apr 2025
Intermediate
This material is for medium-skilled players
Strategy

This video examines whether high-stakes GTO poker strategies can be effectively applied at low and mid-stakes. Alexander breaks down a hand played by Linus Loeliger (king-six suited), comparing GTO recommendations to actual population tendencies at lower stakes. The analysis focuses on pre-flop three-betting, turn barrels, and river bluffs, with practical advice on how to adjust optimally.

The main finding is that while some high-stakes GTO plays don't translate well to lower stakes, understanding population tendencies can help you make profitable adjustments. Lower-stakes players tend to overfold against turn and river barrels, making certain bluffs more profitable than GTO suggests.

Profitable Exploits at Low Stakes:

  • Big blinds at low/mid stakes should three-bet less polarized and more depolarized than GTO suggests
  • Population heavily overfolds against turn barrels, especially when overcards hit
  • River bluffs become extremely profitable (+11BB) when accounting for population's overfolding tendencies
  • Pure king-high hands without additional equity are still not good turn barrel candidates
  • Pre-flop strategy should be adjusted based on opponents' calling and 4-betting frequencies
  • Player-specific information always trumps general population tendencies
  • The video promotes Alexander's "GTO2Exploit" program for more data-driven exploitative strategies
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2 Card Confidence Poker Training Platform

2 Card Confidence is a poker training brand that helps players improve step by step. Their focus is on simple tools and clear explanations that make learning strategy easier. They create practical resources for cash games and tournaments, helping players build real confidence at the tables.

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