15 Jan 2026 Intermediate This material is for medium-skilled players bet sizing exploit GTO overbet ranges value bet James Sweeney breaks down the real reason overbetting works -not balance, but opponent inelasticity. He shows how to exploit both weak players and elite regs on the flop with top two pair. Learn when to overbet 120% pot and why most players misunderstand this powerful weapon. Overbets work because opponents don't adjust calling ranges, not for balance. Use bigger sizes when strong on early streets. Mastering Overbets on the Flop: Most players only think about overbetting on rivers, missing huge flop opportunities with strong hands Against weak opponents, use straightforward sizing: 120% pot with two pair+, 70% with top pair good kicker Elite regs require pseudo-balance, not perfect GTO—mix overbets with some weaker holdings to avoid exploitation The inelasticity principle: players continue with strong hands regardless of size, fold weak hands anyway Building bigger pots early means massive final pot sizes when you're strong Don't overdo it against elite players—they adjust faster when they notice your pattern Solver uses overbets with trash hands too, but exploitative play bends toward value against real opponents
